2017 Winter WG Meeting Presentations | CVCWG Quantifying the seasonal sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere jet-streams to Arctic warming Elizabeth Barnes Timescales of Tropical Pacific Wind Variability and their Relationship with ENSO Antonietta Capotondi Skillful seasonal forecast of the Tropical Indo-Pacific SST Variability Using Model-Based Analogs Hui Ding Towards an improved estimate of "time and emergence" of anthropogenic warming" Flavio Lehner AMOC Variability and Abrupt Change in the Future Zhengyu Liu When Lag Regressions Fail: A Tale of Two Techniques Marie McGraw Observational constraints on the contribution of internal variability to recent climate trends Karen McKinnon Precipitation variability increases in a warming climate Angie Pendergrass Climate Highlights from CESM2 | CVCWG Updates Adam Phillips Seasonality of the Jet Response to Arctic Warming Bryn Ronalds Model Diversity in Future Predicted Pacific Circulation Change Isla Simpson The Impact of Projected Transient Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Global Climate Lantao Sun Towards an improved climate event attribution framework Laurent Terray Stochastic Forcing of CP and EP ENSO Events: Observations vs CESM-LE Erin Thomas Peak-Structure of Extreme Precipitation-Temperature Relationships and its Future Changes Kevin Trenberth