ScenarioMIP Timeline

Following is the timeline planned for the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project:

  • Summer 2015: ScenarioMIP endorsed by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) panel
  • April 2016: Paper on ScenarioMIP design submitted to the CMIP6 Special Issue
    https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 *Published in September 2016
  • April 2016 - Spring 2018: Specification of future emissions and land use scenarios from IAMs, harmonization with historical emissions/land use, specification of future atmospheric concentrations
  • Spring 2018: Expected delivery of scenario emissions, land use, and concentrations
  • Mid-March 2018: Expected delivery data for future emssion data and long-lived greenhouse gas concentrations on input4MIPs (future land-use forcing data are already available at input4MIPs)
  • Mid to late May 2018: Expected delivery of future ozone database
  • Late May 2018: Release of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect for all future scenarios used in ScenarioMIP
  • Fall 2018 (Update): As of November 2018 Tier 1 experiment forcing data are available at input4MIPs [ https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/projects/input4mips/ ] land-use data for Tier 2 SSP1-1.9 (1.5C scenario) and SSP5-3.4OS (overshoot) has also been completed and is going to be soon available (as of December 5th) at input4MIPs; ozone concentration and nitrogen deposition fields are missing for Tier 2 experiments, a remedy is being currently worked out.
  • 2018-2020: Co-author a paper with all participating modeling groups on outcomes of ScenarioMIP simulations.