Investigating fluctuations of the tropical intraseasonal oscillation1>
Co-Author: Ping Liu
Tropical intraseasonal oscillation remains a challenge to simulate realistically and projected robustly in the AR5 models. The estimates, nevertheless, were based on limited runs from international modelling groups. This important mode can probably be better analyzed and deduced from the large-ensemble simulations of the CESM by using different statistical approaches, such as EOFs of those many members. How the mode would change under the RCP scenarios will also be projected.